Creating Coherence in Global
Environmental Governance:
Canada’s 2002 Opportunity
Professor John Kirton
Department of Political Science
Centre for International Studies
University of Toronto
Principal Investigator, EnviReform
Project
Director, G8 Research Group
All Contents Copyright © 2000 University of Toronto unless
otherwise stated. All rights reserved.
Paper prepared
for a panel “Multilateral Environmental Agreements and Institutions: Making
them Work in the Twenty-First Century World”, at a conference on “Canada @ the
World,” sponsored by the Policy Research Secretariat, Westin Hotel, Ottawa,
November 30-December 1, 2000. The author gratefully acknowledges the financial
support of the SSHRC for the project on “Strengthening Canada’s Environmental
Community Through International Regime Reform (EnviReform) of which this paper
is a part, the research assistance of Gina Stephens and Marilena Liguori, and
the comments of Richard Ballhorn and Aaron Cosbey. Revised Version: December 1,
2000.
Abstract
The
international community has been generating multilateral environmental agreements
at the bilateral, regional, plurilateral, and global level for well over a
century, with a notable increase since the UNCED Rio conventions of 1992. Yet
there is considerable doubt about the comprehensiveness, coherence and
effectiveness of the cumulative assemblage, especially as Canada and its global
partners confront such critical environmental challenges of the twenty-first
century as fulfilling their climate change commitments, and forging new
conventions on forests and freshwater. How can Canada best lead in making the
galaxy of multilateral environmental agreements and their implementing
international institutions more effective?
Canada has long
been a successful pioneer in generating multilateral environmental agreements
and institutions for the global community, and its legacy in doing so generates
exceptional domestic unity and international respect. Yet Canada and its global
partners face a new generation of challenges in making the growing galaxy of
multilateral environmental agreements and institutions work in a twenty-first
century world. Intensifying ecological interdependence calls for new
environmental regimes, and ones that operate in a more co-equal, co-ordinated
and coherent fashion with those dealing with specific media or issues and in
interrelated areas such as trade, finance, and investment. The prospective “Rio
plus ten” review and Canada’s hosting of the G8 Summit in the year 2002 provide
an important opportunity for Canada to lead in the design and delivery of a
more coherent and effective system of global environmental governance.
Introduction
As the tenth
anniversary of the 1992 Rio United Nations Conference on Environment and
Development (UNCED) approaches, the system of global environmental governance
it created or catalyzed is increasingly inadequate to address the compounding
ecological challenges the international community confronts. For despite the
important achievements of Rio’s landmark climate change and biodiversity
conventions, its Agenda 21, its Declaration on Environment and Development, and
subsequent conventions and conferences, there was a feeling even as Rio
concluded that much had been left undone. That sense has spread through the
1990’s. During this decade leading national governments have proven reluctant to
rely on and provide resources to international environmental institutions,
despite the increase and intersection of stresses to the integrated global
ecosystem that arose as the intensifying dynamics of economic globalization
unfolded. The result was a growing gap between the world’s environmental
governance capacity and its manifest ecological needs.
During the
1990’s, the international community coped with this gap in two ways. The first
was an incremental use of United Nations (UN)-based subject specific summits or
conferences, and the crafting of issue specific convention – for high seas
overfishing, desertification, and persistent organic pollutants (POPs) - to
deal with individual, narrowly conceived media, pollutants, and problems. The
second was to supplement these individual multilateral environmental agreements
(MEAs) with islands of intense institutional development at the restricted
regional level, most notably in North America through the regime established by
the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) and its companion North
American Agreement on Environmental Co-operation (NAAEC).
As the twenty
first century opens, the international community has reached the limits of this
approach. For individualized, isolated, ad hoc multilateral agreements,
accompanied by pockets of integrated regional institutions for the privileged
few, can no longer cope with environmental challenges that are becoming more
intense, interconnected and fully global. The time has thus come to consider a
more comprehensive, integrated and ambitious approach to generating global
environmental governance for the twenty first century. The fact that fiscal
surplus has now returned to many major industrialized governments, and that the
1997-9 global financial crisis has tempered the previous neoliberal consensus
with a turn toward more socially sensitive, less market driven directions,
provides a supportive climate for contemplating such advances.
This paper
provides a preliminary consideration of a desirable international architecture
for global environmental governance for the twenty first century and why and
how Canada might bring such an architecture to life. It includes a particular
focus on the intersection of environmental regimes with those for the trade,
investment and finance regimes at the heart of the economic globalization
process. It argues that the increasing, interconnected global environmental
stresses generated by economic globalization requires a system and centre of
global environmental governance more comprehensive, coherent, capable and
economically connected than is provided by the current system of individualized
multilateral environmental agreements with a few robust regional organizations.
Given its world leading environmental vulnerabilities and capabilities, Canada
has both an incentive and an ability to pioneer this new generation of
environmental governance, centered on a powerful new Global Environmental
Organization (GEO) that both it and the international community need. Finally,
it argues that the confluence of three high level international negotiating
process – the new Group of Twenty (G20) finance ministers which Canada chairs
for the coming year, the G7/G8 summit it hosts in the Year 2002, and the “Rio
plus Ten” review taking place that year – offer exceptional near term
opportunities for Canada to create the consensus that will bring the new GEO
and environmental governance system based on it to life.
1. The Global
Ecological Challenge: Increasing, Integrated, Global Ecological Stress
The challenge of
creating effective global environmental governance begins with three central
problems: the increasing stress on many of the world’s critical environmental
resources; the interconnections among them revealed by unfolding scientific
knowledge; and their growing global geographic nature. The current era of
intensifying globalization is accelerating all three trends.
First a wealth
of credible public and private sector “State of the Environment” reports
focused at the global level reveal a global ecosystem under increasing stress
both overall and in critical components (UNEP 2000, World Bank 2000). To be
sure much uncertainty remains about the planet’s overall carrying capacity,
sustainability thresholds in particular component ecosystems, the point at
which irreversible dynamics are catalyzed and at which the loss of critical
environmental resources can catalyze large-scale effects in ecosystems as a
whole. Additionally, there is solid evidence of a reduction in pollution and
increase in ecological capital in some domains and regions.
Yet amidst these
uncertainties and offsetting forces, there is a wide range of areas where the
global ecosystem is clearly under severe and increasing stress. The most acute
include the depletion of the world fisheries, where 60% of marine fisheries are
currently overexploited (Rogers 1995, Gummer 2000). They embrace forests, as
“the world’s sylvan balance sheet still bleeds trees, owing to widespread
deforestation in the tropics” (Victor and Ausubel 2000: 129). Indeed,. Each
year 12 million hectares of forest cover, an area the size of Greece, are lost.
One half of the world’s tropical forests have disappeared in the last 50 years.
Further acute threats include those to coral reefs, depletion of freshwater
supplies in key regions such as China, and the melting of polar ice.
Secondly, these
increasing threat to individual ecological resources and regions are
accompanied by growing scientific evidence of their interconnections in an
ultimately integrated global ecosystem. Even within the limited North American
region, the old image created by migratory species such as the Monarch
Butterflies and Gray Whales that traveled among Canada, the United States and
Mexico is being altered by growing evidence of the pathways of the long range
transport of air pollutants that suggest that production, transport and impact
embraces a more extended geographic range. The presence of POP’s banned in
Canada in the Canadian Arctic, the image of the G7 leaders at their Tokyo
Summit clustered beneath their umbrellas as the rains containing the
radioactive residue rained upon them point to the same underlying ecological
reality.
The
interconnection are not only interregional but intermedia as well. The need to
embrace all major sources and sinks (including oceans and forests) in a common
approach to climate change is the leading example. Recent evidence of how the
loss of coral reefs in the Caribbean may result in part from diseases carried
by dust from desertifying Africa illustrate how both regions and media now come
together in complex ways. The complex but tight interconnection among media and
geographic regions strongly suggest that many problems are inherently global
and holist.
Thirdly, this
increasing stress on an integrated ecosystem is likely to have a growing global
geographic impact, especially with the intensifying pace of economic
globalization. As the Bruntland Commission recognized, increasing environmental
stress from proliferating population growth and industrialization creates
pollution and compounding natural resource depletion. These dynamics are now
powerfully enhanced with the democratic-market revolution that is bringing so
many emerging and transition economies, not only into improved environmental
sensitivity and policies, but also into the rapid growth of the advanced
industrial age. These growth trend intersect with a growing global populations
projected to stabilize at 8-9 billion individuals by the year 2050. Already in
developing countries, poor urban air and water quality can lead to GDP losses
of up to 25%. The current pollution challenge to Hong Kong’s economic future
and the stress on Mainland China’s water resources should it reach as similar
level of development well illustrate the global trend.
2.
The Inadequate
Global Environmental Governance Response
In the face of
this increasing, integrated, global ecological challenge, the international
community offers an incomplete, unbalanced and inadequate international
institutional response. To be sure, there have been impressive developments at
the multilateral and global level over the past century and during the most
recent decade in generating a vast array of legal agreements to govern many of
the world’s critical ecological resources. Similarly, there have been important
innovations at the bilateral and regional level in creating the international
institutional and organizational capacity. Yet at the global level, there is an
acute shortage of an adequate international institutional system and
organization with the capability to deal in a comprehensive, coherent and
effective fashion with a global ecosystem under threat in a globalizing age.
This lack of adequate global environmental institutional capacity is
highlighted by a brief review of recent major developments in generating global
legal instruments, developing regional international institutional capability,
and relying on the global environmental and economic organizations that
currently exist.
A. Multilateral
Environmental Agreements
The
international community has had well over a century of experience in crafting
multilateral environmental agreements to meet the perceived priorities of the
time. Indeed, the creation of the world’s intergovernmental environmental
regime began in the 1870’s and continued, with notable pauses and reversals
during world war and depression, through the post World War Two years (Meyer
1997). Similarly, the emergence of multilateral environmental agreements with
direct international economic implications, notable those with trade measures
as implementing and enforcement devices, are also an inheritance of the
nineteenth century, having begun in 1878 (Charnovitz 1996).[1]
In both domains, the pattern indicates that the growth of such legal
instruments is by no means a continuous or inevitable process, as seen most
recently by the great decade-plus long pause following the Stockholm conference
of 1972. Yet the most recent period, beginning with the Bruntland Commission
report in the mid 1980’s, through the Rio UNCED of 1992, has had a vibrant, and
sustained legacy. The following table of the major multilateral conferences and
conventions related to sustainable development shows the strength of the
current trend, as leaders-level global summits and ministerial driven
functional processes have combined to create a considerable edifice (Johnson
2001, Dodds 2000).
Major Global
Summits and Conferences:
·
The World
Summit on Children (1990)
·
The
Conference on Environment and Development (Rio, 1992)
·
The
Conference on Human Rights (Vienna, 1994)
·
Conference
on Small island Developing States (Barbados 1994)
·
The
International Conference on Population and Development (Cairo, 1994)
·
The World
Summit for Social Development (Copenhagen, 1995)
·
The World
Conference on Women (Beijing, 1995)
·
The Global
Conference on Human Settlement (Istanbul, 1996)
·
Food Summit
(Vienna, 1996)
·
UNGA Review
Implementation of Agenda 21 (1997)
·
UNGA Review
of Cairo (1999)
·
UNGA Review
of Barbados Action Plan (1999)
·
Millennium
Summit (September 2000)
Major
MEAs have been concluded in the last 15 years, including:
·
The Vienna
Convention for the Protection of the Ozone Layer (1985)
·
The
Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer (1987)
·
The Basel
Convention on the Transboundary Movement of Hazardous Waste (1989)
·
The
Framework Convention on Climate Change (1992)
·
The
Convention on Biological Diversity (1992)
·
The
Convention to Combat Desertification in Countries Experiencing Serious Drought
and/or Desertification, Particularly in Africa (1994)
·
The Kyoto
Protocol on Climate Change (1997)
·
The
Cartagena Protocol on Biosafety (2000)
Yet even with
this impressive accumulation of international law, major lacunae remain. The
instruments developed in regard to the major domains of forests and water
remain far short of full scale conventions. This is despite the fact that in
the case of forests, the need for such a Rio-like convention was recognized
more than a decade ago, when the G7 leaders committed themselves at their 1990
Houston summit to the creation of a global forestry convention by 1992.
Moreover, the
existing repertoire suffers from three defects (Johnson 2001). The first is the
need to go beyond the consensus on issues, identification of priorities,
adoption of principles, assembly of coherent and extensive action plans, and
articulation of strategies (including co-operation, technological and
scientific transfers, capacity building, differentiated commitments, and the
principle of equity between developed and developing countries) to the actual
implementation required to give the substance of these agreements practical
effect. The second is the need for much
greater capacity, including new financial transfers, to accomplish this task[2]
The third is a much more effective participation of non-governmental organizations
(NGOs) and the private sector in this process. The need was recently
underscored by the former Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund
(IMF), Michel Camdessus who, in his farewell address to the United nations
Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) X, proposed a major international
effort to ensure actual effective implement of the action plans that the United
Nations conferences and summits of the 1990’s generated (Camdessus 2000).
B. Regional
Institutions
If the MEA’s with
global reach and relevance lack comprehensive coverage and the implementation
capacity required to make many of them effective, the new generation of
regional environmental organizations bred in a few northern locales have not
yet been extended to, or replicated in, much of the rest of the world. Indeed,
as the experience of the United Nations Regional Commissions demonstrates,
outside of Europe and now North America, there is little effective regional
environmental institutional capacity at all.
Although in some
respects the European Union remains the global leader in the development of
effective regional environmental governance, the most relevant recent
innovations have come in North America, with the 1994 creation of the
Commission for Environmental Co-operation (CEC) as part of the new NAFTA
regime.[3]
Although Canada and the United States had created a host of environmental
agreements and institutions throughout the twentieth century, most notably the
Boundary Waters Treaty and International Joint Commission (Spencer, Kirton and
Nossal 1981), the CEC was a revolutionary creation in several respects (Rugman,
Kirton and Soloway 1999, Kirton and Fernadez de Castro 1997). It was a regime
that embraced as equals countries of the long developed north and still
developing south. It recognized the existence of, and need to manage, the
ecological interdependencies on a wide and disparate regional rather than
merely transboundary scale. It understood the centrality of directly
integrating them with the new regimes for trade and investment liberalization.
And it created North America’s first real regional organization to manage the
process. It was one where, uniquely in the global community, the environmental
body was stronger as an institution and organization than that which the
trade-investment-finance community enjoyed.
Seven years
after its creation, the performance of the CEC demonstrates both the promise
and the limitations of the regional approach to environmental governance (Esty
et al. 2000). Although a vigorous debate about the record still flourishes, it
is becoming clear that despite difficult circumstances the CEC has, in its
programs of stand-alone environmental co-operation, largely met the mandate it
was given, if not the much larger expectations and potential that surrounded
its creation. It and its NAFTA sister have been less successful in fulfilling
the legal obligations, encoded in both the core NAFTA trade-investment treaty
and the parallel NAAEC, to bring ecological considerations to bear on the trade
and investment liberalization which NAFTA unleashed. Although the strong legal
provisions of the initial texts and the attitude of the new Mexican government
offer some grounds for optimism about the effective implementation and even
deepening of the NAFTA environmental and trade-environment regime within North
America, there are far fewer reasons to predict that it will broaden to embrace
more countries, through the addition of new partners, the use of the NAFTA
models by individual partners in outside arrangements, or the adoption of the
NAFTA model by outsiders on their own.
Seven years
after its creation, there is no near term prospect of adding other members to
the NAFTA-NAAEC regime and its institutions, even should the granting of free
trade fast track authority to the US President eliminate the most immediate
obstacle to moving the process forward. Despite the impressive extension of
NAFTA-modeled and compatible environmental provisions in the Canada-Chile and
US-Jordan bilateral free trade agreements, Mexico has done little to do
likewise in the many subsequent bilateral free trade agreements it has signed
(most consequentially with the EU). Among the other more plurilateral
trade-related communities including both northern and southern countries and
the US, Canada and Mexico as members, the Asia Pacific Economic Co-operation
forum (APEC) has shown virtually no sign of adopting any of the NAFTA-NAAEC
inheritance despite its obvious relevance and proposals to this effect (Rugman
and Soloway 1997). Similarly, there have thus far been few advances in the Free
Trade Agreement of the Americas (FTAA) process, despite a wealth of analytic
suggestions about how a move forward could feasibly be made (Segger et al.
1999). Among outsiders, major countries of the hemisphere have in Mercosur
followed a different approach.
C.
Global
Environmental Institutions
To what extent
and why do the central institutions for environmental and economy-environment
governance at the global level lack both the comprehensive organizational
capacity and trade-related relevance of the regional institutions within North
America? The easy answer is to see the former as merely a lagging governance
system, destined to catch up to their long established, well developed global
economic colleagues with a growing realization of the functional ecological
needs of the global ecosystem and with the fading of such familiar inhibitors
as the greater number and diversity of countries involved, the lesser
visibility of transborder environmental problems, burden sharing and other
collective action problems and the like. Yet both the underlying diagnosis and
the implied prescription - strengthening the UN-centered system in lapidary
like fashion - may be fundamentally misplaced.
i. Environmental
Governance
In the field of
environmental governance, the United Nations system does offer a wide array of
institutional components engaged in global environmental governance, and a host
of advantages as a platform to address the planet’s twenty first century needs.
The latter include an institutional nest which lowers transactions costs, a
near universal membership that offers legitimacy and the capacity for grand
geographic, functional, and burden sharing bargains. However it also contains
some fundamental flaws that explain the systems’ decidedly poor performance
over the past 55 years.
The first is
that at the very normative core of the entire system stands to this day a
complete absence of any recognition of even the existence of the natural
environment, let alone its relevance to other concerns or its value in its own
right.[4]
Equally absent are generic principles, such as the precautionary principle,
that have importance in the ecological domain. Moreover, the Charter
simultaneously affirmed a wide range of values and principles whose realization
(with the primary exception of human health), involve an increased stress on,
or consumption of, unvalued ecological capital. Also consistent with the
limited levels of scientific knowledge, industrialization and the
pollution-resource depletion dynamic of the time, no part of the UN institution
itself or the functional agencies it inherited or created were assigned, let
alone dedicated to fulfilling, ecological responsibilities.[5]
Moreover in its key decision-making rules, beginning with the United Nations
Security Council and the aggressor enemy state clauses, the UN system
permanently entrenched provisions that gave what were to become the least
environmentally sensitive principal powers
- notably the Soviet Union-Russia and China -a predominant role, while
confining what were to become more environmentally sensitive major powers –
such as Germany and Canada, Italy and Japan - to a secondary rank. Such choices
made it more difficult for the system to take up, as many bodies such as the
World Resources Institute have suggested, the issues of environmental security,
broadly defined in a swift, strong and sensitive way (Homer Dixon 1993).
With such an
ideational and institutional foundation, environmental considerations were
destined to remain a fragile and far lagging add on and afterthought to the far
more powerful established core as the UN system evolved.[6]
The burst of activity at Stockholm in 1972 and such companion moves as the
United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), with its innovative
incorporation of the custodianship principle in Article 234, were easily
stalled and silenced during the new cold war and the neo-liberal revolution of
the first half of the 1980’s, until the Bruntland Commission Report of the mid
1980’s revived the process.
The major
institutional accomplishment of the Stockholm season, the United Nations
Environmental Program (UNEP), was created as a mere program rather than a full
fledged functional agency of the UN and given only a modest budget of US$60
million per year at present.[7]
Its receives only 5% of its budget from the UN and its regular assessments,
leaving it dependant on voluntary contributions, largely from seven donor
countries, for the remaining 95%.[8]
It is headquartered in distant Nairobi, with often scarce electricity, water
and personal safety, and far removed from the centres of power in Geneva, New
York or Washington, and from the tiny convention specific Secretariats that
emerged from Rio and were located in Bonn (Climate Change) and Montreal
(Biodiversity) (Dodds 2000, Le Prestre 2001). With such fragmentation and
fragility in both legal powers and organizational capacity, it is
understandable that these and similar institutions have had difficulty in functioning
as effective international environmental regimes (Bernauer 1995, Haas, Keohane
and Levy 1993, Liftin 1997, Sprintz 1994).
Despite its very
real accomplishments the Rio revolution of 1992 was highly limited as well.
Normatively, it did relatively little to redress the 1945 Charter imbalance as
the Rio Declaration on Environment and Development was far different than the
genuine Earth Charter that many influential participants desired.
Institutionally, its major legacy was a mid-level institutional add on - the
United Nations Commission on Sustainable Development (UNCSD) - established as a
functional body under the authority of the UN Economic and Social Council
(ECOSOC). At UNCSD the representatives of the 53 states elected by the Council
for up to three year terms meet once a year for two or three weeks (Dodds
2000). Equally limited in its authority and organizational stature is the
Inter-Agency Committee on Sustainable Development (IACSD), established as a
subsidiary body of the UN Administrative Committee on Coordination (ACC),
chaired by an Undersecretary General and composed of senior level officials
from nine members of the ACC.
ii.
Environment-Economy Governance
In the field of
environment-economy governance, a reliance on the existing UN-Bretton Woods
centered system is even more problematic. This is especially evident when
viewed against the moves toward equality and integration realized between the
environmental community on the one hand, and the trade-investment-finance
community on the other, in the 1994 regional North American regime.
In the trade
field, the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) of 1947 did under
Article 20 (b) and (g) include a limited environmental exception to the central
trade liberalization disciplines it established. However the effort to
institutionalize environmental considerations in the wake of Stockholm, through
the establishment of a working party on trade and environment saw the
GATT-based trade community strangle the nascent environmental intrusion in its
cradle (Kirton and Richardson 1992). Despite some useful normative and
institutional advances in the new and much stronger World Trade Organization
(WTO) created in 1994, the same year as NAFTA, the impact in terms of dispute
settlement outcomes, and the elaboration of rules or institutional processes
has been widely acknowledged to have been exceedingly modest.
In the finance
field, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) remains bereft of any real
environmental awareness. This is true in its 1945 and subsequently amended
Articles of Agreement but also in the institution itself. While it does lend in
response to natural disasters such as floods and hurricanes, it does so on a
reactive basis to a very limited array of classic environmental threats. Its ad
hoc support programs during the global financial crisis of 1997-99, for such
ecologically critical countries as Brazil, devoted no attention to
environmental concerns amidst the vast array of quite detailed micro and
structural conditions it imposed. And its new Poverty Reduction and Growth
Facility (PRGF), with offers very cheap credit, is focused on health and
primary education rather than to core environmental concerns.
In the field of
foreign direct investment, the challenge is greater still. For here there is no
central, well-accepted economic governance structure within which environmental
values can be injected and towards which environmental concerns can be
directed.[9]
Rather there is an amalgam of component regimes in UNCTAD, the Organization for
Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and WTO codes where environmental
considerations are effectively absent.
The failure of
the OECD as a negotiating nest for a prospective Multilateral Agreement on
Investment (MAI), within which environmental concerns were to be injected,
raises the larger issue of the suitability of this institution as a basis on
which to build stronger global environmental-economy governance. The OECD does
offer several advantages, notably: a membership with considerable global
diversity in geographic location and level of development, a consensus and
analytic-scientifically oriented culture, a proven track record of
environment-economy innovation, and an institutional structure that has from
the 1961 start allowed for meaningful civil society participation. Yet the OECD
remains at its core an economic institution, in which civil society
representatives of the environmental community have no comparable place to that
accorded their business and organized labour colleagues. Its tendency is to
privilege the ideology of “economism”, as its seminal framework for assessing
the environmental effects of trade shows.
3.
Canada’s
Available Alternative Approaches
In the face of
such obvious imbalances in the institutions for global environmental and
environment-economy governance, what strategic approach should Canada pursue?
The instinctive ideological reflex of accepting the inherited, broadly
multilateral organizations and their regimes, while working for their slow and
selective improvement is an inappropriate one. For as a principal global
ecological and economic power (see below), Canada has a large repertoire of
regime building approaches or foreign policy approaches it can pursue. In
addition to the bilateral and regional institutional and multilateral agreement
approaches discussed above, these include national closure, unilateralism, and
market driven voluntary standardization[10].
Strategies of
national closure suffer from the fact that there are fewer opportunities for
effective border defences in a globalizing age, notwithstanding national skills
and investments in agricultural, hazardous waste and other inspections at the
border. This is particularly true for a country with a vast array of open
borders, located at the intersection of three major oceanic ecosystems, and
containing a fragile Arctic environment. Moreover such nationalist strategies
still face the challenge, in a federation where an estimated 70% of
environmental responsibility lies within provincial jurisdiction and where
federal-provincial co-operation is not always the norm, of securing consensus
without the spur of international disciplines or processes. Canada’s recent
environmentally-related record under NAFTA’s Chapter 11 investment dispute
settlement provisions shows how intense such federal-provincial frictions can
be, and how peculiar autarkically conceived and designed environmental policy
in a protectionist nest can be (Kirton 2000).
Unilateralism
has a larger, if still residual, relevance. While externally-directed
unilateral responses might appear appropriate only for the world’s strongest
powers, they retain their relevance for a major power Canada in a globalizing
age. Despite its avowed multilateral convictions, Canada has regularly
practiced well-targeted, effective environment-economy unilateralism, as with
the 1970 Arctic Waters Pollution Prevention Act, its actions before and during
the spring of 1995 against overfishing on Canada’s east coasts, and in its
hints of trade restrictions to induce South Korea to reduce its fishing on
Canada’s east coast. A detailed examination of these cases indicates that they
were driven primarily by ecological as opposed to territorial expansion or even
trade protectionist motives. Partly as a result, such Canadian moves acquired
widespread international legitimacy. Most importantly, they were effective,
both in addressing the immediate environmental threat but above all in
catalyzing the creation of long awaited multilateral provisions or conventions
to protect major environmental domains. Both Article 234 of the United Nations
Law of the Sea Treaty and the 1995 United Nations Convention on High Seas
Overfishing and Straddling Stocks are eloquent testaments to the effectiveness
of Canadian unilateralism as an approach to environmental leadership. For this
reason alone, unilateralism should remain a residual part of Canada’s
environmental regime-building repertoire.
Voluntary
private sector driven standardization is an approach that has many attractions,
especially in the face of the competing nationally and subfederal envrionmental
and other standards that create uncertainly within a country and that can pose
barriers to Canadian market access abroad (Rugman, Kirton and Soloway 1999).
Canada has a respectable record in the strategic use of voluntary
standardization for international regime building, most clearly in the case of
the ISO 9000 quality and ISO 14000 environmental standards.
Yet such
standards can be slow to create as they are based on consensus and difficult to
enforce. They can inhibit a vibrant regulatory race to the top as well as the
much feared if seldom seen regulatory race to the bottom. The can face costly
competing standards regimes, as Canada’s forestry industry can attest. Nor do
process standards of the ISO variety clearly and quickly deliver demonstrated
improvement in environmental performance. Above all, they are always vulnerable
to defection, leading some industries with experience with them to look, after
their initial appeal, to have them entrenched in regulatory action by
governments with authority and the full force of law.
There are thus
good reasons, particularly from a Canadian perspective, to include as a central
focus of twenty first century environmental governance, efforts to create at
the fully global level a much more comprehensive, coherent and capable system.[11]
The centrepiece of this architecture is the creation of a single new Global
Environmental Organization (GEO), with a mandate and resources that match and
interrelate with the pillars of the international economic system, notably the
WTO and IMF.
Such an approach
would start, after a successful POPS convention is within sight, to move away
from a reliance on the issue specific conventionalism – the creation of agreements
for a single class of pollutants or problems, in the tradition that Canada
launched at Montreal with the ozone protocol.[12]
It would move more aggressively to create the missing conventions for the major
components of the core media, notably forestry, oceans, and freshwater. And it
would design these in ways that are integrally linked to the existing Rio
inheritance that begins with climate change and biodiversity.
Based on the
experience at Rio and in the ten years following, its institutional energies
would turn away from efforts to create a stronger centre for global
environmental governance within the existing UN institutions, whether through a
transformed Trusteeship Council, an enhanced UNCSD or an expanded UNEP.[13]
Rather it would concentrate on creating a new and strong GEO.
Such a body,
modeled on and linked to the WTO and IMF in the first instance, would have a
comprehensive mandate, with strong ministerial and perhaps occasional
leaders-level involvement. These features would allow it to make the trade offs
necessary to secure package deals among a range of related areas, and the
visibility and moral authority to make a scientific and information based
approach to compliance sufficient. It would further have a governance
structure, including functional representation grounded in ecological
capability, that would help prevent one or two recalcitrant countries from
delaying or preventing progress.[14]
It would further have a central responsibility and the requisite resources for
the annual and ongoing co-ordination of those issues and media specific
institutions which remained. It should serve as the centre of environmental
monitoring and information, investigation (similar to the NAAEC’s Article 13
provision), dispute settlement (using the NAEEC’s Article 14-15 citizen
submission process), and resources for capacity building and remediation (by
assuming responsibility for a much enhanced Global Environmental Facility). For
without a single, powerful authority centre and the robust resources to enforce
such co-ordination, the many proposed half measures are unlikely to have much
effect.
Nor should the
GEO be narrowly conceived as an amalgam of just a few of the traditional global
commons institutions (Esty 1998). For it is in the newer generation of Rio
conventions and secretariats, and the additions to come that the central action
will and should unfold.[15]
At the same time, the new body should be an essentially environmental one,
rather than a sustainable development institution from the start. Yet as with
the NAFTA-NAAEC regime at the regional level, it should have sufficient
economic authority and resources to force an integration with the evolving and
prospectively reformed trade and finance institutions and the economic capacity
to deal with those bodies on an equal plane.[16]
4. Canadian
Vulnerabilities and Capabilities
In the creation
of such a new architecture and institution, Canada has an appropriate
leadership role to play. For Canada’s environmental and economic
vulnerabilities provide an incentive for such leadership, even as Canada’s
ecological and economic capabilities generate an adequate demand and capacity
for influence.
Canada is
particularly exposed and vulnerable to the full effect of these multifaceted,
compounding problems. It long ago ceased to be a far off realm with geographic
protection from its three oceans, leaving environmental assaults confined to
transborder penetrations or extractions from the United States to the South.
With the world’s longest coastline, one of the world’s largest preserves of
freshwater and temperate forests, and as a key custodian of the world’s Arctic
ecosystem, Canada has an exceptional vulnerability to ecological threats from
distant locations, and vested interest in the proper functioning of the global
ecosystem as a whole. Its exceptional exposure is underscored by a steady
succession of environmental problems with origins in distant realms, such as
overfishing off Canada’s Atlantic coasts, and the presence of POPs in the
Arctic ecosystem.
A decade ago,
these ecological vulnerabilities were paralleled and outweighed by economic
ones, given the heavy resource weighting in Canada’s export dependent economy
(Kirton and Richardson 1992). The current economic situation remains much the
same, even though it now has a different internal mix. For the declining share
of natural resources and primary products in overall exports has been matched
by a much greater export dependency of the Canadian economy as a whole. Such
ecologically intense exports remain critical for many of Canada’s regional
economies and communities. They face severe threats from their far off
destinations, ranging from boycotts of some forestry exports harvested by
allegedly unsustainable methods or the collapse in global commodity prices and
demand as in the financial crisis of 1997-9.
With close to
90% of Canada’s exports destined for the North American marketplace, it appears
that the regional NAFTA regime cover a high portion of Canada’s economic
interests. It provides much less comprehensive coverage for Canada’s ecological
interests, which are far more, and becoming ever more, global in scope. And
even in the economic domain, the advent of globally integrated production
systems and business alliances, and the need for a more coherent North American
voice in shaping relevant multilateral regulatory regimes induces Canada to act
strategically on a wider stage.
Canada’s
capabilities flow from its high international ranking in overall ecological
capital and many of the major ecological resources.[17]
These are reinforced by its innovative leapfrogging environmental technologies,
its deeply embedded public support for global environmental protection as a
foreign policy priority[18],
and its demonstrated political and official level success in securing the major
new environmental regimes of the 1990’s, with the conventions on biodiversity
and high seas overfishing, and the Montreal biosafety protocol at the head of
the list. Other more recent assets include its commitment to expand official
development assistance (ODA) after a decade of reductions, and its new status
since 1996 as a net outward foreign direct investor. The frequency of high
profile incidents of Canadian-owned firms causing environmental damage in their
foreign operations provides a new incentive for investment-related
environmental regime building, with multilateral agreement rather than
unilateral Canadian extraterritoriality the generally preferred path.
5. Conclusion:
Canada’s 2002 Opportunity
The ability of
Canada to catalyze the creation of such an institution, as it did the WTO
itself starting with its proposal in February 1990, is enhanced by the
conjuncture of three key processes in the ongoing cadence of global governance.
The first is Canada’s continuing chairing of the Group of Twenty (G20) finance
ministers, and the possibility of Canada hosting a second ministerial meeting
in 2001 following the recently concluded October 24-25, 2000 Montreal meeting.
The second is Canada’s hosting of the G7/G8 leaders meeting, and with it the
lead-up individual meetings of finance, foreign, trade, and environment
ministers, in the year 2002. And the third is the occurrence of the “Rio plus
ten” review conference, possibly at the leaders level, that same year. All
three processes could form part of a single strategy, directed at the broader
theme of coherence in global governance and designed to bring a new global
environmental organization about.[19]
a. The G20
The utility of
the G20 rests on its status as an institution with a membership from all global
regions, one that combines the major developed and emerging countries in
roughly equal balance, and that contains a large share of the GDP and
population of the world (Johnson 2001, Kirton 2001). As a forum of finance
ministers, central bank governors and institutions such at the IMF, it contains
influential individuals responsible for national budgets and often trade policy
as well as investment and finance. The G20 was created to assist in the
immediate task of constructing a new crisis response and prevention mechanism
and new international financial architecture in the wake of the global
financial crisis of 1997-9
At its second
ministerial meeting, held in Montreal, its focus broadened considerably to
embrace “Responses to the Challenges of Globalization.” Moreover, amidst a far
reaching, socially sensitive “Montreal consensus” highlighted by Paul Martin
and encoded in its communique, the G20 dealt extensively with trade as well as
finance issues, and accepted the need to provide developing countries with
greater access to the markets of developing countries. Moreover, it further pledged, publicly, to
“Contribute to international efforts to increase the provision of other global
public goods to address serious issues such as...the environment, which cut
across national borders and require concerted global cooperation” (G20 2000).
During the coming year, the G20 is a promising forum to engender a consensus
among influential ministers from key developed and emerging countries on the
need for a new organization, and a willingness to provide the funding required
to bring it to life.
b. The G7/G8:
Through Genoa to Italy
The centrality
of the G7/G8 summit and system lie in its proven performance in arriving at
timely, well tailored, ambitious agreements in the field of sustainable
development, including in the economy-environment and trade-environment domains
(Kirton and Richardson 1995). It lies also in its success in inducing member
national governments to comply with their collective sustainable development
commitments made at the G7/G8 summits (Kokotsis and Daniels 1999). Underlying
this performance are several distinctive institutional features, notably: its
ability as a non legally bound, but leaders-driven institution to focus freely
on priority issues, set new directions and make new integrative linkages and
tradeoffs; the relative equality it accords its subordinate ministerial forums
for the environment and the economy; its capacity for rapid movement given the
low transactions costs and high degree of common purpose among its compact
common group of eight major market-oriented democracies; and the relative
internal balance it contains among the environmentally conscious members of
Germany, Japan, Canada, and the European Union and the others (Kirton 1999).
The G7/G8 has
had a long history of catalyzing and directing the reform of existing
international institutions and bringing new ones to life. It last did so, under
Canadian leadership, as the centerpiece of its 1995 Halifax Summit. Here
Canada, working with the United States, centered the Summit on the question of
what institutions the international community requires to meet its needs in the
twenty first century. Moreover Canada broadened the initial tendency to focus
narrowly on international financial institutions, to embrace the full range of
UN bodies in its review.
At the most
recent Summits, in Cologne 1999 and Okinawa 2000, environment issues enjoyed
rather less prominence than that had at Summits during the previous decade, beginning
with Toronto in 1988. Yet Cologne did importantly set a new direction by
beginning to develop a new “Cologne consensus” on the need for socially
sensitive and sustainable globalization (Kirton, Daniels and Freytag 2001). It
and surrounding Summits have also had a robust international reform agenda,
focused on designing and delivering a new international financial architecture
to meet the needs of the global economy in the rapidly globalizing twenty first
century (Kaiser, Kirton and Daniels 2000). Most recently,
the Okinawa 2000
Summit, with its focus on development in an era of globalization, and its
creation of several new innovative processes (notably Dot-Force and the
renewable energy task force), did much to create a legitimacy and constituency
for G8 led initiatives, and to pioneer the more open and inclusive forms of
governance that a GEO would require. It also saw Canada and its colleagues
offer increased ODA and improved market access, incentives which could be
critical in inspiring broader multilateral support for the creation of a new
GEO.
Looking ahead,
there is reason to believe that Canada is currently contemplating having
environmental issue featured as a core agenda item at the Summit it will host
in the Year 2002. Following its successful initiative at Tokyo 1993, it is
similarly envisaging trade as a major component, especially if a new
comprehensive round of multilateral trade negotiations is not launched by that
time. On the road to Canada 2000, Italy, as host of the July 20-22, 2001 G7/G8
Summit offers a traditionally environmentally friendly chair to work with in
the necessary preparatory activity, beginning at the first sherpa meeting of
the Italian season to be held in Palermo, Italy in February 2001. In keeping
with the Naples-Halifax cadence of the previous cycle, the objective could be
to have the G8 leaders at Genoa agree that global environmental governance
(perhaps as part of a broader focus on coherence in global governance) would be
a focus for their discussions the following year, to pose the question of “what
global governance system and component institutions does the international
community need to meet the environmental and sustainable development needs of
the twenty first century” and mandate the G7/G8 ministerial bodies and other
international organizations to do the relevant preparatory work. Part of the
Genoa contribution could be for G8 leaders to make a clear commitment to make
the Rio plus Ten Review a summit level event of Rio-like dimensions, by
personally promising to attend for the necessary time and through other means.
c. Rio Plus Ten
Review
It is critical
for that review to have such Rio-like proportions if it is to generate a new
system of global environmental governance, establish a strong GEO at its core,
create a genuine Earth Charter as a normative foundation, and effectively link
this new system to that for global economic governance in a way that Rio
largely failed to do. That Summit could feature the establishment of such a new
institution as its centrepiece deliverable, should the necessary preparatory
and negotiating processes begin in the near future. Its focus on the updating
and implementation of the core Rio conventions for climate change and
biodiversity could lead to a highlighting of their ecological interconnections,
the need for new conventions in related areas, and the values of a single
properly resourced institutional centre to lead an integrated approach.
The central
attention Rio plus Ten will give to the climate change issue could lead to
innovative ways to forge an improved environment-economy link. Here the focus
could be, as the NAFTA regime recognized, not only on the traditional
trade-environment issues, but on the investment-environment issues where the
OECD-led MAI failed, and where developing countries see their prospects for
development in a globalizing era centrally engaged. One promising proposal is
to have a multilateral investment regime embedded within an updated Climate
Change and similar conventions, through a bargain in which developing countries
accept disciplines over primarily Northern sourced FDI, in exchange for the
resource transfers and differential commitments required to meet the climate
change targets required (von Moltke 2000).
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[1] There are now an estimated 175-200
multilateral environmental agreements, of which 20 have trade restricting
provisions.
[2] It was estimated at the time of Rio that
a transfer of an additional US$125 billion would be required to give its
program effect.
[3] A complete assessment of the regional approach from a Canadian perspective would include and examination of the important work of the recently created Arctic Council, although it remains less central than NAFTA-NAAEC to the trade-environmental issue from the perspective of Canada as a whole.
[4] This lacunae is particularly significant
given the finding that proper principles and norms as well as strong scientific
capacity are the critical causes of effectiveness for international
environmental regimes (Haas, Keohane and Levy 1993). For a similar, more recent
analysis, focused the need for updating existing institutions on forests and
emphasizing the need for a vision and scientific monitoring capability and
information see Victor and Ausubel (2000: 139-141).
[5] Such a complete absence made it more
difficult to act subsequently on suggestions, which flourished on the “Road to
Rio 1992”, such as converting the Trusteeship Council, that had lost its
seminal purpose, into the central high level body in the UN system dedicated to
environmental governance.
[6] For example it was only in the year 2000
that the United Nations managed to create a Forum on Forests to provide a
single place for dialogue among the array of institutions with a partial
interest in facets of the field.
[7] By way of comparison, the trilateral CEC
has an annual budget of US$9 million.
[8] This “bake sale” approach to global
environmental governance is seen elsewhere, as money must be raised to finance
each negotiating session in most areas, and developed countries are asked to
finance the travel and accommodation of delegations from the former Soviet
Union, central and eastern Europe, and elsewhere.
[9] The “missing economic regime” problem, which has produced an “equality of nothing” but an inability to actively integrate, is even more pronounced in regard to the missing global governance centres for competition policy, electronic-economy regulation, and cultural diversity.
[10] There remains scope for further bilateralism, especially through the conclusion of further free trade agreements with NAFTA-like environmental provisions embedded within. Promising partner are Japan and perhaps South Korea, along with several countries in the western hemisphere.
[11] There is also an important place for expanded regionalism and transregional plurilateralim, through such processes and bodies as the Summits of the Americas/FTAA/OAS, APEC, a new transatlantic free trade agreement, NATO (with its initial Article 2, subsequent Committee on the Challenges of Modern Society (CCMS) and new interest in environmental security, the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe, the Commonwealth, and la francophonie,
[12] Such an approach suffers from what might
be called “frequent flyer environmentalism” with national officials constantly
flying to an endless succession of international meetings, leaving no-one to
deal with national matters and making it difficult for their minister to know
which of the many meetings are worthy of their own time and presence.
[13] It could, however, usefully seek to give
stronger expression to environmental values within the charters and operations
of all other UN functional agencies, with an appropriate monitoring of the
results.
[14] The defects of the existing approach of
UN-based individualism is seen in the climate change negotiations and the
failure of COPS-6, where the developing country position was delegated to the
G77 who entrusted it in practice to Saudi Arabia and Nigeria, the two major oil
exporters among the group. The major emerging economies such as Brazil and
India remained unengaged.
[15] There is value, as an interim step, in
the existing move to have the secretariats or conferences of the parties of the
major agreements conclude co-ordination agreements with those in cognate
fields, and in amalgamating many similar agreements and bodies into media or
problem specific nodes.
[16] An useful intellectual starting point is to review the functions entrusted to the CEC by the NAAEC, identify those not being performed or being performed inadequately at the global level, and assessing where a consensus might lie to invest such functions in a new global body. Simultaneously, a similar review of the environmental provision of the core NAFTA would inform Canada’s national and coalition-building approach to the launch of a new Millennium Round of multilateral trade negotiations and current efforts at IMF and international financial architecture reform.
[17] For example, Canada possesses 25% of the
world’s natural forest. It is also the world’s eighth largest emitter of
greenhouse gases.
[18] Domestically, 87% of Canadians currently
list the environment as a concern and 93% feel their children’s health is
affected by a poor environment.
[19] A similar emphasis on plurilateral
leadership through the G* and G20, with Canada as part of the core leadership
coalition, is outlined in regard to forests by Victor and Ausubel (2000:141-142).
See also Bryner (1997: 196).